Buy rating on IRB Infra is maintained with a target price of Rs.240 over one year, as against
the earlier target price of Rs.250.
With the sale of 30 million shares of the promoter group, the overhang of distressed sale of pledged shares has been significantly reduced.
The chairman of the company along with his family has increased their stake in the company to 60%.
As the overhang on pledged shares is substantially removed, investors could now focus on
fundamentals, which are strong in this weak environment.
Any project win from its Rs.16 billion plus project bid pipeline, earning surprise from its construction business or interest cost savings would be positive catalysts for the stock.
Goa project is excluded from estimates because of persisting uncertainties over land
acquisition and the target price has been reduced to Rs.240 from Rs.250.
Risks to the target price are lower than expected growth in traffic or daily collections in new projects, lower EPC margins, project delays etc.
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